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PROBID (Preference Ranking on the Basis of Ideal-Average Distance)

PROBID is a ranking method that judges alternatives not by distance to a single ideal point, but by distance to a whole series of hypothetical "rank" points running from best to worst, and to their average.

Base method's data type: Classical

What Is the Method?

PROBID is a ranking method for when you already hold a numerical decision table, placing the alternatives in a single order. Its output is a score for every alternative and a descending order based on that score. Rather than the two extreme points, ideal and anti-ideal, that TOPSIS builds, it constructs as many intermediate rank points as there are alternatives, and judges every alternative against the whole set of these rank points. It was proposed by Wang, Rangaiah and Wang in 2021 to reduce the sensitivity that arises, in chemical-engineering process-design selection, from TOPSIS's reliance on a single ideal point.

The Philosophy Behind It

The idea behind TOPSIS is "find the alternative close to the best and far from the worst," done with two points. PROBID goes a step further: it orders every criterion column from largest to smallest (or smallest to largest for a "lower is better" criterion) and builds m hypothetical "rank points." The first rank point is made up of the best value on every criterion, the second of the second-best value on every criterion, and so on down to the last. In this way not only the extremes but the intermediate rungs too are taken into account. An alternative that sits close not only to the best point but also to the "good in the middle" points is rewarded for this in PROBID as well.

The philosophical consequence is that PROBID, like TOPSIS, is compensatory. A weakness on one criterion can be papered over by strength on another, because the outcome is still a single distance and a single score. What sets PROBID apart from TOPSIS is that this compensation is measured against the whole set of rank rungs, not just the two extreme points; the authors claim this structure disturbs the ranking less than TOPSIS does when the alternative set changes.

How It Works

The method proceeds through five steps.

First, scale equalisation. Every criterion column is divided by its own magnitude: each value in the column is divided by the square root of the sum of the squared values in that column. Criterion direction is not applied at this step but at the third.

Second, weighting. Each equalised column is multiplied by its criterion's weight. The weights come from outside PROBID and must sum to 1.

Third, building the rank points. In the weighted table, every column is ordered smallest to largest for a "lower is better" criterion, and largest to smallest for a "higher is better" criterion. This produces as many hypothetical rank points as there are alternatives, m: the first is the "first-rank ideal," made up of the best value on every criterion, and the last is the "last-rank ideal," made up of the worst value on every criterion. The average of these m points is recorded separately as an "average ideal" point.

Fourth, distances. For every real alternative, the straight-line (Euclidean) distance to each rank point that has been built, and to the average ideal, is calculated.

Fifth, combination and ranking. The rank points are split into two halves: the upper half (rungs close to the best) and the lower half (rungs close to the worst). An alternative's distances to the upper half and its distances to the lower half are each weighted by the inverse of their rank number (full weight for the first rung, half weight for the second, and so on) and summed, giving what are called S+ and S− respectively. The ratio of these two is taken and compressed into the range 0 to 1 by an equation, to which the distance to the average ideal is then added. The alternative with the larger resulting score is the better one.

The formulas behind each step, the intermediate tables and the citation formats are given on the DecisionMind method page; this card carries no formulas.

How to Read the Output

The PROBID score tells you how well an alternative stands, relative to the other alternatives in this analysis, against both the best rung and the middle rungs; it says nothing more. The score is not a percentage and cannot be compared directly with TOPSIS's closeness score, because the two methods construct their score scale differently. Nor can the score be compared with a score from a different analysis; the rank points are built afresh, in every analysis, from that analysis's own alternatives.

The alternative ranked first is often not the outright best on any single criterion; it is the one whose closeness to both the upper and the middle rungs is balanced. A small score gap between two alternatives does not signal a robust ranking but one that is sensitive to the weights.

Thus instead of writing:

"PROBID found the best alternative"

the report should read:

"With these weights and this alternative set, the alternative with the highest PROBID score is this one; the ranking is sensitive to the weights and to the alternative set"

Data Type and Inputs

PROBID works with crisp data: one number per cell. You need alternatives in rows, criteria in columns, one number per cell with no empty cells; direction information for every criterion (higher or lower is better); and criterion weights summing to 1. PROBID does not produce weights, it asks for them from outside; you can derive weights from expert opinion (AHP, BWM, SWARA) or from the data itself (Entropy, CRITIC). DecisionMind currently holds no extension of this method; it works in its base, crisp form.

A minimum of two alternatives is required. As the number of alternatives grows, so does the computational burden, because PROBID calculates, for every alternative, as many distances as there are alternatives; beyond a hundred or so alternatives this grows substantially.

When to Use It, When Not To

PROBID is a suitable choice if your criteria can be measured numerically, your table has no gaps, you accept compensation, and you are wary of TOPSIS's excessive sensitivity to a single ideal point. It is typically preferred in settings such as process design and engineering-alternative selection, where several reasonable intermediate solutions also carry information.

The case where it should not be used stems from the same root as TOPSIS: if you will not compromise on one criterion, PROBID is unsuitable, because it is compensatory. Where the number of alternatives is very large (in the hundreds), its computational burden grows faster than that of other ranking methods.

A numerical table, compensation accepted, wary of TOPSIS's sensitivity to a single extreme → PROBID

A very large number of alternatives, computation should stay light → simpler aggregation methods such as SAW, WPM

No compromise allowed on one criterion, sub-threshold alternatives must be screened out → screening first, then ranking

Not a ranking but weights are needed → AHP, BWM, SWARA (subjective); Entropy, CRITIC (objective)

Strengths

PROBID's greatest strength is that it bases the ranking not only on the two extreme points but on the intermediate rungs as well. This is intended to make the ranking less disturbed than TOPSIS's by small changes in the alternative set; the authors demonstrated this with both synthetic and real process-design examples (Wang, Rangaiah and Wang, 2021). Its computation stays close to TOPSIS in simplicity, and every step can be followed on the table.

Weaknesses

PROBID, too, rests on the assumption of full compensation; this means a serious weakness on one criterion can be papered over by other criteria. Splitting the distance rungs into two halves and weighting them separately can make the ranking sensitive to small changes in the weights; this sensitivity appears to differing degrees across different datasets (Baydaş, Kavacık and Wang, 2024; Stević et al., 2024). Because it is a less widely known method, it does not yet have as broad a body of critique as AHP or TOPSIS; its fuzzy and linguistic extensions are still developing (Darko et al., 2023; Köseoğlu, 2025).

Common Mistakes

The most common mistake is marking criterion direction wrongly; this reverses the order in which the rank points are built and renders the result meaningless. A second mistake is assigning equal weights without justification. A third is comparing the PROBID score directly with TOPSIS's closeness score, or with a score from a different analysis; the two methods do not share the same score scale. A fourth is applying PROBID to very large numbers of alternatives (in the hundreds) without considering the computational burden.

The governing principle is this:

A PROBID result is a consistent summary of the directions, weights and alternative set you supplied; if any input is contested, the ranking is contested too, and the report must show this.


Cases

Each case opens with a decision table, describes in words what the method does to it, and shows how to read the result.

1. Engineering: Selecting an equipment alternative in a process-design unit (illustrative example)

A process engineering team must choose among four equipment designs. Three criteria apply: a yield score, a safety score and a unit-cost score. Yield and safety are "higher is better"; cost is "lower is better." The team has set weights of 0.40 for yield, 0.35 for safety and 0.25 for cost.

DesignYieldSafetyCost
A10.700.500.80
A20.500.900.40
A30.800.600.70
A40.600.700.60
Directionhigher is betterhigher is betterlower is better
Weight0.400.350.25

The method first equalises every column to its own scale and multiplies by its weight. It then orders every column to build four hypothetical "rungs": the first rung is made up of the best value on every criterion, the fourth rung of the worst value; the average of these four rungs forms a separate reference point. Each design's distance to these rungs and to the average is measured; the distances to the upper two rungs and the distances to the lower two rungs are combined separately and reduced to a single score.

DesignPROBID scoreRank
A20.71991
A30.58772
A40.43063
A10.26204

The result reads as follows. A2 is not best on cost, but it is clearly best on safety, and safety is the team's second most heavily weighted criterion; this is why it comes out on top. A1 has the second-highest value on yield, yet it is weak on both safety and cost, and so finishes last.

The team hesitates here: although the gap between A3 and A4 (0.157) is larger than the gap between A2 and A3 (0.132), it should also be tested whether A3 would overtake A2 if the safety weight were raised from 0.35 to 0.45 and the yield weight lowered to 0.30; PROBID's rung structure can respond to such weight changes differently from TOPSIS.

In the report: "With the weights given, A2 has the highest PROBID score (0.7199); this ranking was computed against DecisionMind's own validation table and is not an example table drawn from Wang and colleagues' (2021) article."

Source: This table and these scores form an illustrative example built to test DecisionMind's PROBID engine against the steps in Wang, Rangaiah and Wang's (2021) article; it is not a case study reproduced from the article. The figures were independently recalculated in Python while preparing this card and confirmed to match, figure for figure, those produced by DecisionMind's engine.

2. Economics: A development agency's choice of regional investment-incentive design

A development agency must choose among four alternative incentive packages. Three criteria are used: expected employment impact, contribution to regional income distribution, and implementation cost. The first two are "higher is better"; cost is "lower is better." The agency has given the highest weight to employment, with less to income distribution and to cost.

The method brings the four packages onto the same scale, multiplies by the weights, builds the four-rung ideal points and their average, and then measures the distances. Suppose the result places first the package with the highest employment impact but also the highest cost; this is because the employment weight dominates, and the package is also mid-ranked on income distribution.

The agency hesitates here: if the employment weight were lowered slightly, the cheaper package with a moderate employment impact could move ahead. Should the agency present a single ranking as definitively correct without disclosing this sensitivity to the public, the debate over the weight would be conflated with the ranking itself.

In the report: "With the priority given to the employment weight, the first package comes out ahead; when that weight is lowered by 0.10, the second package moves ahead."

3. Agriculture: A cooperative's choice of irrigation-system investment

An agricultural cooperative must choose among three irrigation-system proposals. Four criteria apply: water-saving rate, installation cost, ease-of-maintenance score, and expected yield increase. The three criteria other than cost are "higher is better"; cost is "lower is better." The weights were set by a vote at the cooperative's general assembly.

The method brings the three proposals onto the same scale, builds the four-rung ideal point, and scores them. Suppose the most expensive proposal comes out first because it is clearly best on water saving and yield increase; on ease of maintenance it is middling.

The general assembly hesitates here: the cooperative's budget can barely cover the most expensive proposal. PROBID does not take the budget ceiling into account on its own; cost is only one criterion, and it has already been traded off against the rest. If the budget is a firm limit, the proposal exceeding it should be screened out before being entered into PROBID.

In the report: "The budget ceiling was applied as a pre-screening criterion, and the remaining proposals were ranked using PROBID."

4. What Not to Do

Had cost been marked "higher is better" in the same equipment table, the rank points would have been built in reverse, and the most expensive design would have started from the best rung; the result would have become meaningless. A second error is comparing the PROBID score with TOPSIS's closeness score as though the two shared the same scale; the two methods' scoring equations differ. A third error is reporting A2's score of 0.7199 as "72 per cent suitable"; the score only ranks these four designs relative to one another.

Formulae

The computation step by step, with the formula behind each step.

  1. 1. Vector-normalize every criterion column. Criterion direction is not applied here; benefit/cost ordering is applied when the ideal solutions are constructed in F3.

  2. 2. Weighted normalized matrix v_ij = w_j · r_ij.

  3. 3. Construct m ideal solutions A(k): each column of wnmatrix sorted in descending order. Average ideal solution Ā_j = (1/m) Σ_k A(k)_j.

  4. 4. Euclidean distances: S_i(k) = distance from alt i to k-th ideal A(k); S_i(avg) = distance from alt i to average ideal Ā.

  5. 5. Harmonic-weighted positive and negative ideal distances. S_pos uses k=1,…,⌈m/2⌉; S_neg uses k=⌊m/2⌋+1,…,m, so the middle ideal is shared only when m is odd. Then R_i=S_pos_i/S_neg_i and p_i=1/(1+R_i²)+S_i(avg), ranked descending.

Sources

For the computation steps

Wang, Z., Rangaiah, G. P., & Wang, X. (2021). Preference ranking on the basis of ideal-average distance method for multi-criteria decision-making. Industrial & Engineering Chemistry Research, 60(30), 11216–11230. DOI: 10.1021/acs.iecr.1c01413

Darko, A. P., Antwi, C. O., Asamoah, K. O., Opoku-Mensah, E., & Ren, J. (2023). A probabilistic reliable linguistic PROBID method for selecting electronic mental health platforms considering users' bounded rationality. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 125, 106716. DOI: 10.1016/j.engappai.2023.106716

Stević, Ž., Baydaş, M., Kavacık, M., Ayhan, E., & Marinković, D. (2024). Selection of data conversion technique via sensitivity-performance matching: Ranking of small e-vans with PROBID method. Facta Universitatis, Series: Mechanical Engineering. DOI: 10.22190/FUME240305023S

Köseoğlu, A. (2025). Extension of the PROBID method to the Pythagorean fuzzy sets for multi-criteria decision making. International Journal of Pure and Applied Sciences. DOI: 10.29132/ijpas.1815996

For more detail

Suggested standard works of the field; they are not the source of this method's computation steps. Check each reference before citing it.

  • Hwang, C.-L., Yoon, K. (1981). Multiple Attribute Decision Making: Methods and Applications. Springer (Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems). doi:10.1007/978-3-642-48318-9
  • Opricovic, S., Tzeng, G.-H. (2004). Compromise solution by MCDM methods: A comparative analysis of VIKOR and TOPSIS. European Journal of Operational Research, 156(2), 445-455. doi:10.1016/S0377-2217(03)00020-1
  • Behzadian, M., Khanmohammadi Otaghsara, S., Yazdani, M., Ignatius, J. (2012). A state-of the-art survey of TOPSIS applications. Expert Systems with Applications, 39(17), 13051-13069. doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2012.05.056
  • Triantaphyllou, E. (2000). Multi-criteria Decision Making Methods: A Comparative Study. Springer. doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-3157-6
  • Greco, S., Ehrgott, M., Figueira, J. R. (Eds.) (2016). Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis: State of the Art Surveys. Springer. doi:10.1007/978-1-4939-3094-4